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For all its revolutionary hype, it could turn out to be just another variation on existing payment schemes.

Apple Pay, PayPal, WeChat, and other services already each offer a basic payment method, including various convenience-enhancing features to lure customers and businesses. But, in substance, these services are merely an additional link in the chain of existing payment channels, ultimately connecting to the akcijos prekybos banking system.

If Libra simply competes with these existing players, there could still be rich pickings for Facebook, not just transfer and forexed forex bank transaction fees, but also in terms of data collection.

The Coming Libra Panics

But, of course, Libra is being sold as much more than this. According to this view, if the Argentine public abandoned its peso holdings, the peso would depreciate, and arbitrageurs would step in to support the now-undervalued currency.

The peso would return to its initial value, and all would be well.

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During a spasm of domestic panic, international capital flows in a system without the equivalent of deposit insurance are more likely to follow the logic of a bank run. When depositors fear the possibility of a bank failure, the sensible ones withdraw their money. If the bank fails, they avoid a loss; if it survives, they can simply redeposit their money at little cost.

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But when enough depositors do the sensible thing and withdraw their funds, the bank will fail. Subscribe Now The same type of self-fulfilling prophecy can also occur in a national economy. If a peso depreciation seems imminent, all rational holders of pesos will dump them for a readily available stable currency, thereby causing the rapid depreciation they feared.

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But the risks are obvious. Countries with a long record of devaluations, like Argentina, as well as any middle-size country with a floating exchange rate, would be highly vulnerable to capital flight.

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Proponents of the efficient-markets theory have long pushed for forexed forex bank frictionless transactions, in order to maximize the scope and benefits of the price mechanism. But so far, we have been saved from the disastrous consequences of frictionless international currency flows by the inefficiencies of the prevailing system.

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But if Facebook introduces seamless international transactions for the general forexed forex bank, runs will become commonplace. Inevitably, governments will have to step in to introduce a new form of friction to the system. One partial solution is a small universal financial transaction tax of the type proposed 50 years ago by the Nobel laureate economist James Tobin. Policymakers around the world have been discussing a Tobin tax for decades.

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Now that Libra is looming on the horizon, it is time to put words into action — before Facebook does. Support High-Quality Commentary For more than 25 years, Project Syndicate has been guided by a simple credo: All people deserve access to a broad range of views by the world's foremost leaders and thinkers on the issues, events, and forces shaping their lives.

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